The K6USY Network

Keep an eye on your router logs or states tables to see if the addresses are being used.  That's good news.

Yesterday the Roku OS on both my Roku Ultras got updated, and now both Roku Ultras are acquiring IPv6 addresses. I don't know if they are just acquiring them, or actually using them, but the router is reporting that the IPv6 addresses are being assigned to both of them. Before yesterday only one of the Roku Ultras was acquiring IPv6 addresses. (The two boxes are different hardware builds, even though the external model name is the same on both.)

Quote from: K6USY on June 26, 2023, 09:18:28 AMWonder how long it will take us to get to 50%

A linear projection from the troughs (weekly lows) over 4 years (24.53% on June 17, 2019 through 40.47% on June 20, 2023) gives me November 11, 2025. Since adoption curves tend to be an S-curve overall but could have lots of noise, I would expect the troughs in Google's IPv6 adoption chart to reach 50% in 4Q2025, but not necessarily in November 2025. But predictions are difficult, especially about the future.

Quote from: K6USY on June 26, 2023, 09:18:28 AMand will that be a tipping point.

I wouldn't expect a "tipping point" as such, but more likely a continuation of the S-curve, such as explained at https://www.stratechi.com/adoption-curves/

Outside factors could disrupt the curve, such as some governments (including the United States federal government) placing IPv6 as a requirement in their RFPs and some countries requiring ISPs in general to support IPv6.

If the federal government started having their public-facing websites be IPv6-only, that would apply pressure on ISPs to have IPv6 (as well as IPv4) so the public could interact with those websites, and that would accelerate the adoption process faster among ISPs than the S-curve would suggest, but may end up having little effect on corporate networks that often have legacy components or the decision makers may not see a need to upgrade to dual-stack.

Wonder how long it will take us to get to 50%, and will that be a tipping point.

In other news, it looks like the auction prices of IPv4 addresses have been trending down, about 25% drop in the past six months.

Looking at Google Stats for the period of June 10-17, 2003, we went a whole week above 40%, which is a good sign!


We had a previous week period above 40%, December 24-31, 2022, but around Christmas we know that, at least in the United States, many people are off at least several of those days and are more likely accessing Google from their residential ISPs than from work or school and, at least in the United States, residential ISPs are more likely to have dual stack than corporate networks.

Update to the forum has been installed, the site is also now running on PHP 8.1.

I have purchased a new iPhone every other year from the release of the iPhone 3G, this is my first year to break that cycle and I am keeping my iPhone 12 Pro.  The phone still works, battery life is good, and due to the promo I have with AT&T it will cost me more to upgrade before the phone is paid off.  The promo gives me a credit on my phone payment every month so if I pay it off early I have to pay the total remaining balance.  So for now I am waiting until my 12 Pro is payed off to figure out what I am going to do.  I might just want till next year's phone release to upgrade. 

Hi,
someone of you play GTFO ?



M4d

I had:

Motorola 8700
Ericsson T21
Sharp GX20
Panasonic GD95
Nokia 3310
Nokia 6210
Nokia 6310
Nokia E71
Nokia 6680
Nokia N900
IPhone 4
Nokia Lumia 630
Nokia Lumia N95
IPhone 5s
IPhone 6s
IPhone 7
Nokia 8110 4G
IPhone 12

I had a couple of Huawei Android phones, I don't remember the models, but I don't feel comfortable with Android phones

M4d